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Key Findings California voters have now received their mail ballots, and the November 8 general election has entered its final stage. Many Californians have negative perceptions of their personal finances and the US economy. Among likely voters, 55 percent would vote for Gavin Newsom and 36 percent would vote for Brian Dahle if the governor’s election were today. Fifty-six percent of likely voters would support the Democratic candidate in their US House race if the election were today.
Forty-five percent of Californians and 40 percent of likely voters are satisfied with the way that democracy is working in the United States. Republicans are far less likely than Democrats and independents to hold this positive view. There is rare partisan consensus on one topic: majorities of Democrats, Republicans, and independents are pessimistic that Americans with different political views can still come together and work out their differences. Majorities of California adults and likely voters approve of Governor Gavin Newsom and President Joe Biden. About four in ten or more California adults and likely voters approve of US Senator Dianne Feinstein and US Senator Alex Padilla.
These approval ratings vary across partisan groups. Approval of the state legislature is higher than approval of the US Congress. Californians are much more pessimistic about the direction of the country than they are about the direction of the state. United States is going in the wrong direction, and majorities have held this view since September 2021. In the upcoming November 8 election, there will be seven state propositions for voters. Due to time constraints, our survey only asked about three ballot measures: Propositions 26, 27, and 30.